Nigel Farage's Reform UK Leads in Mega-Poll as Keir Starmer's Ratings Drop

A recent mega-poll suggests Nigel Farage's Reform UK is close to forming a majority government with 290 projected seats in the House of Commons. Keir Starmer's Labour party is predicted to have 126 seats, a significant drop from the previous election.

Jul 6, 2025 - 11:43
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Nigel Farage's Reform UK Leads in Mega-Poll as Keir Starmer's Ratings Drop

Nigel Farage and his Reform UK party are on track to potentially form a majority government, according to a recent mega-poll. The survey by More In Common suggests that if a general election were held today, Reform could secure 290 seats in the House of Commons, making them the largest party. While this falls short of an outright majority, it puts them in a strong position compared to other parties.

The poll also indicates a significant decline for Labour, with projections showing them at 126 seats, a substantial drop from their previous standing. The Tories are projected to have 81 seats, the Liberal Democrats 73, and the SNP 42. Additionally, Prime Minister's personal approval rating has hit an all-time low of -43.

The survey highlights potential losses for Cabinet ministers in the face of Reform's rise, with key figures like Deputy PM Angela Rayner and Chancellor Rachel Reeves at risk of losing their seats. Labour is projected to lose 223 seats directly to Reform, including traditional strongholds in the North and Wales.

Voters cited broken promises and U-turns as key reasons for turning away from Labour, with concerns about cost of living and changes to winter fuel payments also playing a role. More In Common's analysis underscores the shifting political landscape in the UK, with Reform UK emerging as a significant player.

According to the source: Daily Mail.

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